Hello Everyone!
I'm sure you're sick of the excuses but I haven't been able to post due to being really busy with work and personal stuff. I didn't even get to the trade analysis I said would be coming soon. However, I did want to share some cool stuff that I was able to get done for our league.
Also, don't forget that if you're in the consolation bracket, you're playing for a $25 gift card!
Ease of Schedule:
- Here we see that the 2 David's were on opposite sides of the luck spectrum when it came to their schedule.
- Another thing we see is the impact of luck on making the playoffs: All 6 playoff teams had relatively favorable schedules, which helps explain how they earned their postseason berth.
- One other pattern you'll see as we continue to go through the graphs is that Mike just really had a fairly unlucky year that he may want to forget.
High Scores:
- There's a reason Cho earned a bye. He was the top scoring team in 5 of the 14 regular season weeks, automatically clinching 5 Ws no matter who his opponent would have been.
- The funniest high score has to be Jung's week 14 explosion to ensure David Y stayed out of the playoffs. I think the 130 points were almost 10% of his season points.
- On the right, it's crazy to think that no player repeated as the highest weekly scorer. Most of these scores were capitalized on. However, here's the short list of teams that did not take advantage of the explosion of points with the week, player, manager, who they played instead, and if this miss cost them the W:
- Week 2, Cousins, Chris, Hurts (27.22), Still got the W
- Week 3, Achane, Jon, Gibbs (9.5), Still got the W
- Week 8, Howell, FA
- Week 11, Lawrence, Jon, R. Wilson (16.46), Still got the W
So in the end, missing out on the best player for that week didn't actually affect any teams' records but may have affected their PF and ultimate ranking.
Player Management
- There's nothing too crazy here other than the fact that the people who got the most percentage of their points from non-drafted players happened to either be people who traded/active on waivers (Simon 42% w/ 67 moves, David K 34% w/ 39 moves, Mike 35% w/ Puka + Gus + Moss +Ferg, Dan 34%) or who had to make a lot of roster moves for injuries/crappy team (Jung 42%, Rich 38%).
- The interesting ones are David Y who participated in a mega-trade but still got most of his points from his original lineup and Chris who got arguably his best player from a trade but just didn't make enough moves (8) to see a big change in percentage.
Lineup Management
This was one of my favorite ones to look at. For anyone who has ever used StatTracker, the optimal points option is a cool but frustrating look into "what could have been." This is a view of basically what could have been for the whole season.
- The most jarring realization is that Mike could have been 2nd in PF and had 10 wins if he had just been able to choose the right player most weeks. He always had a conundrum between Puka, Nico, Aiyuk, Pittman, and CeeDee at WR, Burrow and Tua at QB, and Moss, Gus, and Pollard at RB. Sometimes, too many options can hamper the ability to make the right decision.
- Paul looks like he was super unlucky as he wasn't that far off between his actual and potential points yet he got 4 wins taken away. Must have been a lot of close losses (I still remember when he lost a potential tie against David K).
- Most of the playoff teams are also playoff teams because they didn't leave too many points on the bench. The one exception was Jon who, almost fittingly, lost in the playoffs as he benched an explosive CEH for a disappointing Achane.
- Last note: I think it's hilarious that no matter what, even with perfect lineups, Jung and Chris would not have made the playoffs.
Overall Team Strength
One of the best ways to see how good a team actually is (and how lucky/unlucky they are) is to pretend every team plays every other team in a given week. This almost roto-like method takes out the luck as winning a 4 point battle at 60-64 would most likely only give you 1 of the 11 matchups in a given week.
- Once again, we see Mike was super unlucky as he had the 3rd best total win % against the league. Even with sub-optimal lineup choices, he should have made the playoffs if it wasn't for his schedule.
- David Y also falls in this boat as he has the 5th best total wins and comfortably clears the two tied for 6th at 74 wins. David's case was a little too late by Dak as the Cowboys took a while to get rolling.
- This somehow shows Rich as being unlucky but I thin he's lucky that he wasn't last given that he would only have won 31.2% of his games against every team every week.
- Once again, luck played a bit of a role for the playoff team as every team other than Simon's performed better than their total wins would suggest they should.
Good luck to all!
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