Apologies for not getting a post before the week but we have a really interesting Monday night game in the works that could affect multiple things. Let's look at what's at stake and predict what's going to happen:
- Chris needs 35.26 points from Evan Engram to knock David Y out of the playoff race. Call me a skeptic, but that's not happening. David Y's playoff story lives on. But it requires a loss from Dan and/or Eric to make it happen. So what's going on in their matchups?
- Dan is up by 9+ and the only thing David K has left is Jacksonville's defense. Now, in most weeks, that's a lot to ask for from a defense but against Browning (not Burrow), this could easily be achieved. Give up maybe 14 points (1 point) combine it with 5 sacks (5 points) and 2 takeaways (4 points) and you're there. David K is also fighting for something as he's still in the race for a bye. If he can win this week, he would be in great position as 2 of the other contestants for a bye (Jon and Simon) play each other next week. So let's say Dan loses here.
- Eric is down by 23.12 points and that's what he'll need Etienne to outscore Ridley by. Now just for context, Etienne has scored over 23.12 twice this year and Ridley has scored under 5 points 4 times this year so it's not necessarily impossible... but I'd call it improbable. Unless Jacksonville says "we're going to milk this clock and get out of here with the dub" and gives the rock to Travis 30+ times resulting in a 150 yard, 3 TD game while Ridley just watches, I think Eric also takes a loss.
So where does that leave us?
There's two races to keep track of here so let's start with the least interesting first:
Race for the Bye
Jon and David K would be 10-3 and on top of the standings. As I mentioned before Jon plays Simon next week for a win and in matchup thanks to Jon's record and Simon's point total.
David K would be win and in next week but he plays Mike, the current favorite to win the consolation bracket. While Mike wouldn't be playing for anything, his players don't know that. David K has an extremely low point total so any tie within the top 4 would not bode well for him. However, if he wins, he would be in.
Cho would be sitting at 9-4 and playing Chris (which should be a win) but he'll need some help to get in. He'd be 2nd in PF after week 13 so he would need to win no matter what. Then he would want Jon to beat Simon and have David K lose. That should be enough to secure the bye. If Simon beats Jon and David K loses, he would need to make sure his PF stays ahead of Jon as they would all be 10-4. If David K wins, he would be rooting for Simon to win in an extremely low scoring game and have his team be the first to score 200+ in a week.
Race for the Playoff Spot
So if everything on Monday night goes according to plan, David Y would be at 6-7 and Dan and Eric would be at 7-6. This gets SUPER interesting because Dan and Eric play each other in week 14. This will be a true win and in situation. Now, if they lose, they would need David Y to stumble to sneak into the playoffs.
David Y gets Jung's left for dead team so if he can win, he should be in due to his high points lead. David Y has been one of the hotter teams because even though he's only gone 2-3 in the last 5 weeks, he's scored over 104 in 4 of them has been explosive, scoring over 130 twice. His team seems to be rounding in to form at just the right time so if he can sneak in, nobody would want to play him.
The most interesting situation would be if Eric and Dan tie in their matchup. They would both be at a 7-6-1 and the best David could do is 7-7 so they would both make the playoffs. Now, with fractional scoring, a tie is almost impossible (although David K and Paul almost had one last week if the Vikings had kicked one more FG) but just something to keep an eye on in week 14.
BUT
For all of this wackiness to happen, today's Monday night game will be crucial. So let's watch with bated breath on how this last week will unfold.
Good luck to all!
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