Thursday, October 10, 2019

Week 6 - Some Venting + MOTW

In everyone's life, they want to give up on fantasy. It seems that all things in the fantasy world are aligning against them to rape them so thoroughly in the butt, that they can't even sit down in front of the computer to put in a waiver claim. Last year, this happened to somebody (I think it was Dan or Mike) who consistently got screwed, no matter how many points they scored. I am that team this year.

Granted, my team hasn't been scoring that well but I'm currently 8th in PF but sitting at 0-5. Let's take a look at the week to week performances of my opponents:

Week 1: Dan - 143.62, highest score in the league, Dan's highest score this season (Jesus Christ, Mahomes and CMC)
Week 2: Jung - 103.96, 4th highest score in the league, Jung's highest score this season (OBJ and Kelce's only good game of the season so far)
Week 3: David Y - 128.94, highest score in the league, David's 2nd highest score this season (Cowboys played Miami)
Week 4: Jon - 123, 3rd highest score in the league, Jon's 2nd highest score this season (Fournette's best game and Bengals are hapless in Pittsburgh)
Week 5: Rich - 129.16, 3rd highest score in the league, Rich's highest score this season (WTF, Aaron Jones)

With Cho, Mike, and Eric as my next 3 matchups, I may be out of the playoff race by week 8. I'll do a proper post-mortem on my team when we do our annual "What Went Wrong?" column but for now, I'll be crying in the corner.

The plus side is, I'll now have more time and energy to devote to MOTW. But with a lot more sinister and jaded undertones.

MOTW
7. Fe-Brees vs. 9. Mud Dogs
Jung and Jon are at a crucial juncture in the season where their teams haven't quite performed to the level of a champion but they're on the cusp of breaking into the playoffs. A win would be one step in the right direction while a loss would have them pouting with me at home about how the fantasy gods hate them. A loss here (or maybe even a win) could trigger a trade to make one last run at the playoffs (or shore up a position of weakness that they overcame in their week 6 win). Who will take a step towards playoff glory?

Studs: DJ vs. Fitz
I'm all in on the Cardinals this week (I would have put Murray here but I love Fitz and will give him praise every time I can).They're playing against one of the worst secondaries in the league and that should mean a nice bounce back week for Fitz. While Atlanta has been solid against the run, DJ should do plenty of damage as a receiver. The biggest question will be how close the game remains. A Falcons lead bodes well for Jung as Arizona tries to come back, but if the Cardinals take a huge lead by the half, DJ should get close to 30 touches to close out the game.

Duds: Fournette vs. Kelce
Fournette (who HAD to have a great game against me) faces a stiff Saints defense that has shut down some of the best backs in the league (Zeke 18 carries for 35 yards, Carson 15 for 52, 16 for 63). Fournette's specialty has never been efficiency so if the Jags fall behind, expect a single digit performance from Leonard. Kelce has to deal with his QB being slightly hobbled after getting repeatedly destroyed by the Colts on SNF. He won't be able to bust out of his slump against the Texans who have been solid against solid TEs (Hooper 56 yards, Olsen 5, Cook 37).

X-Factors: Williams vs. Diggs
Which Williams on Jon's team am I talking about? I actually don't know since both of them are quite the X-factor this week. Mike hasn't quite been the TD machine we expected him to be but gets a beatable Pittsburgh secondary that will be focused on slowing down Keenan Allen. On the other hand, Preston Williams has been a bright spot in the otherwise trainwreck of a season for the Dolphins (I can't believe they haven't traded him away for a 4th round pick yet). Can he get his first score since week 1 against a team who is just as invested in losing as the Dolphins are? Diggs didn't quite pop open last week, even as he pulled off his best Antonio Brown impression and threw Cousin so far under the bus, he was able to retrieve all the footballs stuck under it. In a matchup that should require a decent amount of throwing, against a secondary that lost Maddox 2 weeks ago (which is somehow a loss??? He was terrible against the Packers, getting repeatedly flagged and beat on routes), can Diggs get his groove back?

Key Players on Bye:
Jon - None
Jung - David Montgomery - Already lacking at RB, Jung will be at Saturday prayer meeting for White and Coleman to perform at levels that haven't been seen before.

Winner: Jung
I actually think this matchup will be decided by less than 10 points. Jung's running backs are pitiful and Jon's WR2 and 3 situation leaves a lot to be desired. But Jung's RBs have solid matchups and the TE chasm looks like it's going to be quite large (a dud by Kelce is still a top 6 score in the league). Special teams leans slightly Jung's way which should be the difference in a close battle to get a step closer to the post-season.

MOTW record: 2-0

Good luck to all!

Simon Kim

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