Week 10 - MOLW and MOTW

Another week, another terrible Monday night for David Y.

MOLW:

David Y vs. Biggie Cho

David's letdown was worsened based on what happened Sunday night. He took an 86.8-79.24 lead into the big Saints Bucs game. He had RoJo, Cho had a kicker, a defense, and a running back to go on Monday night. Things were looking a bit grim when RoJo only pulled out 3.3 points in a game the entire TB offense faltered. But thanks to their entire team failing, Cho's ancillary players were only able to score 5 points. David took a slender 5.86 point lead into Monday night. With the potential return of Sony Michel, it looked like Damien Harris would have a pretty hard time reaching the total he needed.

The night started off great for David. Harris really had to work hard for his yards, unable to gain chunk yards against a reinvigorated Jets defense. He even fumbled a ball (that he didn't lose) which got him on Bill's bad list, ceding more carries to Burkhead than normal. But after a nail-biting first half, with 5:34 left in the game, Damien Harris hit a 21 yard run, his biggest of the night, to put Cho up by 1.24 points. Furthermore, David couldn't even hope for a fumble to take back the lead as Harris got hurt on the play and left the game for good. Poor David has had 3 Monday night games go against him.

MOTW
7. Koobra Kai vs. 8. The Glory Hogans

Biggie did get destroyed last week, as we expected, and New England couldn't capitalize on Flacco's first start of the season to put up the 45 points he needed for the win. But he did make up a lot of ground in the PF race, putting him in position to actually contend for a playoff spot. Paul is on the precipice of being eliminated for good. At 3-6, 1 more loss pretty much spells doom for him. This is a do or die week for him.

Studs: Kirk vs. Brown

Christian Kirk has been the large beneficiary of defenses focusing on Deandre Hopkins. This should be the case again this week as White follows Hopkins around the formation, Kirk should be able to exploit a secondary that just got ripped apart by the Seahawks. Marquise Brown has been waiting for a breakout game and this could be it. While the Ravens will never be a pass happy team, the Patriots secondary allowed Flacco to look like a star again. If Harbaugh doesn't have at least 6-9 targets in store for Marquise, I would be surprised.

Duds: Green vs. Tennessee

Although Cincy should be throwing a lot, I can see Haden shadowing Green to take him out of the game. Will Burrow have enough time to get the ball to any of his downfield threats? I don't think so. I'm seeing a huge Tyler Boyd game this week. On the flip side, while the Titans matchup against the Colts looks like a great one on paper, I expect the Colts to play conservative, run first football in this matchup. The Titans defense hasn't been great all season and there's no reason to think that they'll be more prepared on a short week.

X-Factors: Mixon and Carson

2 running backs returning from injuries. Both were slated to be low end RB1s this year but injuries have limited their raw point totals. When they do play, they have been solid producers, owning their respective backfield in touches. As both are still projected to be game time calls, this could be the position battle that decides the matchup.

Key Players on Bye:

Biggie - Koo - I know losing a kicker to a bye week usually doesn't matter but Koo is arguably Biggie's second most consistent player behind Kyler. He's only posted a sub-8 point game one time all season. 4 of the last 5 weeks have been 12+ points, the mark of a solid WR2 or RB2. 

Paul - Hurst, Ridley - Losing 2 pieces of the Falcons receiving squad to bye is tough and could be the difference in what should be a close matchup.

Winner: Paul

While Biggie has been trending up, I think the Brees, Kamara, Carson combo is too much for Kyler to overcome on his own. I can see Biggie's receivers putting up slightly higher numbers than Paul's, but the RB situation should be a massacre in favor of Paul. Paul brings Biggie down to .500 and if Cho or Eric falter this week, the race for the 6 seed will be coming down to the wire.

Good luck to all!

SPECIAL PAYOUT NOTE:

Going forward, I will also be updating the table below to keep everyone reminded of the payout structure at the given moment in case there is an abrupt end to the season. Anything grey and crossed out are no longer possibilities and the highlighted text is what the current payout would be if an abrupt cancellation were to happen:

Cancelled or season shortened abruptly after <10 regular season games: All money is returned to owners.
Cancelled or season shortened abruptly after 10-12 regular season games: Top 6 seeds (playoff teams) receive $150, Bottom 6 seeds receive $50.
Cancelled or season shortened abruptly after 13 regular season games (aka we are in the fantasy playoffs): Seeds 1 and 2 receive $250, Seeds 4-6 receive $175
Cancelled or season shortened abruptly after 14 regular season games (aka second round): All 4 remaining seeds receive $300
Cancelled or season shortened abruptly after 15 regular season games (aka championship): 2 teams in championship will receive $550 each. 2 teams in consolation will receive $50 each.
Season shortened prior to start of season 11+ games: We will have to adjust to however Yahoo changes things. If there is a way to adjust it myself, I will work backwards and make room for the playoffs as we currently do (3 of the last 4 weeks, not including the final week of the season). For example, if the season is cut to 12 games, I would try to adjust it so that the regular season is weeks 1-8, and the playoffs are weeks 9-11.
Season shortened prior to start of season <11 games: With the randomness of fantasy football, any fantasy regular season that is less than 7 weeks is too short to determine a proper winner. If this happens, I will return HALF the money back to all participants and we will be playing the shortened season for a smaller prize (Total prize pool of $600).