Thursday, October 15, 2020

Week 6 - MOLW and MOTW

Sorry for missing the week 5 post. I could come up with an excuse but I'll get ridiculed either way by David Kim so I'll just leave it at that.

First, let's recap 2 of the matchups of last week that went down to the wire on Monday night:

Jon vs. Dan

In what should have been the matchup of the week, had I not forgotten, Jon and Dan were fighting for first place in a tightly contested matchup. Dan took just under a 30 point lead into Monday night but Jon still had Josh Allen to get him the win. It didn't start off great with a interception on the first drive but after his 2nd TD to Yeldon in the 4th quarter while staring at a large deficit, a garbage time comeback seemed possible. After a Titans score, the Bills would get the ball back but Josh Allen wouldn't see the field again. Thanks to a Andre Roberts fumble, Jon's hope dissipated with about 5 minutes left in the game.

David K. vs. Mike

David is still looking for that elusive win and he took a double digit lead going into Monday night but Mike still had Derrick Henry left to play. It didn't look good for David. But the game started and Henry was having a hard time moving the ball. At the half, he had 24 yards and a TD, averaging less than 2.5 yards per carry. It wasn't likely but David could still hold onto the hope that the Titans could keep him at bay. Of course, that hope only lasted until the 4th quarter when Derrick Henry got carry after carry to ice the game, culminating in a TD to seal the deal. David continues to look for his first win.


MOTW
8. The Glory Hogans vs. 9. David Y Team
Both teams are 2-3 and have faced a bit of bad luck up to this point. Paul has had the most points scored against him so far this season and David has had to deal with the loss of CMC and the ridiculous Mahomes game on Monday night. Who gets back to .500 and, most likely, back into the playoff picture?

Studs: Ridley vs. Lamar

Ridley gets to pick on a Vikings defense that can't stop anybody. With the Vikings offense putting up points as well, expect Ryan to throw early and often to Ridley to stay in the game, especially if Julio doesn't play again this week. Lamar gets to face a Philly defense that's reeling from injuries. The one concern is that this game may be a blowout as Philly can't move the ball as the Ravens defense pours through their decimated offensive line, but I think 3 quarters of Lamar is enough to put up 30 points.


Duds: Samuel vs. Singletary

Samuel suffers from the problem of "who is going to throw me the ball?" There's 3 QBs on the SF roster and it's entirely possible that none of them are NFL starting caliber QBs. Also keep in mind that he may see some Jalen Ramsey and that Donald will make it hell for Jimmy G, Mullens, or Beathard. Singletary gets a decent matchup against a Chiefs defense that can be run on, but I just can't see the Bills running much in a game that should decided by balls thrown in the air. Additionally, the return on Zach Moss isn't going to increase the number of touches he gets.

X-Factors: Somebody not on the roster yet vs. Indy

As noted below, Paul has a ridiculous number of players on bye. He'll have to make a saavy pickup or two and that could be what propels him to victory this week. As for David, Indy has sneakily been the top fantasy defense, relying on forcing turnovers and controlling the line of scrimmage. While they won't be scoring touchdowns at the current rate, they get a relatively easy matchup against Joe Burrow and the Bengals where they should be able to score double digit points.

Key Players on Bye:

Paul - Brees, Carson, Kamara, Jackson - How Paul will find a QB and a defense without dropping any of his bye week players will be an interesting challenge. I've also never seen someone missing their RB1, RB2, and RB3 in a given week without injuries playing a factor.
David -None

Winner: David

Paul is missing too much top tier talent and the backfield advantage, even without CMC, has to swing in his favor. The QB gap should be sizable too, as Paul will be starting somebody off the scrap heap. Paul does have a few studs that may give him hope in pulling off the upset but in the end, he'll be looking at 2-4 and focusing on week 7.

Good luck to all!

No comments:

Post a Comment