Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Mid-season Report

Let's take a look at my draft analysis and see how I did:

Funky Fresh (David Yim)
Best Pick: 1st Round, Adrian Peterson
Worst Pick: 7th Round, Kyle Rudolph
Sleeper: 12th Round, Owen Daniels

Although AP has still been a top 10 back, aside from a couple long runs, hes been struggling. And Kyle Rudolph and Owen Daniels? One's not even a top 20 TE and the other is on IR. Not a good start to this...

Grade: D

The Powerhouse (Nelson Kim)
Best Pick: 7th Round, Lance Moore
Worst Pick: 5th Round, Darren McFadden
Sleeper: 5th Round, Darren McFadden

Lance Moore has been pretty much non-existent and is now owned by a different owner. When McFadden has played, he's been a double digit scoring machine but he did miss a few games due to injury as I predicted.

Grade: C+

Badonkagronk (Mike Lee)
Best Pick: 2nd Round, Jimmy Graham
Worst Pick: 5th Round, Mike Wallace
Sleeper: 9th Round, Josh Gordon

Jimmy Graham was a lock to be the best TE and even with an injured foot, he scored two touchdowns (I'm not bitter about that...). Mike Wallace has looked awful in Miami aside from a handful of games and Josh Gordon has found a way to be successful, even with Brandon Weeden at QB. ::Pats self on back::

Grade: A

Jacked Up! (Brian Cho)
Best Pick: 6th Round, Rob Gronkowski
Worst Pick: 6th Round, Rob Gronkowski
Sleeper: 9th Round, Chris Givens

Gronk's had a solid game and a clunker so it's too early to say whether he was a good pick or not... and maybe that's what I meant by saying he would be the best AND worst pick! Givens has only had 1 game over 10 points and with Bradford out, I doubt he'll be topping 100 yards any time soon.

Grade: C-

its my vick in a box (Biggie)
Best Pick: 3rd Round, Cam Newton
Worst Pick: 5th Round, Le'Veon Bell
Sleeper: 12th Round, Andre Roberts

Cam's been on a tear lately (although not for Biggie's team) and could finish in the top 5. Bell has had 3 solid games since returning from injury but we can't say he's anything but a fringe RB2 for now (he's had to work real hard for those points). Andre Roberts has barely been able to get a point in multiple weeks.

Grade: C-

Donkey Ndamukong (Jon Lee)
Best Pick: 2nd Round, MJD
Worst Pick: 6th Round, Shane Vereen
Sleeper: 10th Round, DeAndre Hopkins

MJD... yeah... let's skip that one. Shane Vereen was actually a monster before he got injured but alas, he did get injured. So I guess that was a bad pick? DeAndre Hopkins has shown flashes but just hasn't been able to be a reliable fantasy starter.

Grade: D

Suck Mike Ditka (JY)
Best Pick: 5th Round, Jordy Nelson
Worst Pick: 3rd Round, Tom Brady
Sleeper: 10th Round, DHB

Jordy has been the best Green Bay wide receiver up to this points and is a top 5 receiver in the league. Brady has struggled without receiving threats and DHB hasn't done much yet, but with Reggie Wayne gone, he should be in line for more targets.

Grade: A-

Orangevodjuiceka (Dan Park)
Best Pick: 8th Round, Rashard Mendenhall
Worst Pick: 12th Round, Kendall Wright
Sleeper: 10th Round, Alshon Jeffrey

Although getting a starting RB in a shallow RB group in the 8th round was a great pick, Mendenhall has been quite disappointing, even for the low draft position. Kendall Wright hasn't produced more than 1 double digit fantasy week. Alshon has been boom or bust, which you might take from your 10th round pick.

Grade: B-

No Romo (David Kim)
Best Pick: 2nd Round, Brandon Marshall
Worst Pick: 5th Round, Matt Ryan
Sleeper: All his RB2s; 15th Round, Denard Robinson??

Aside from one bad week, Marshall has been a fantasy monster, finishing as a clear WR1. Matty Ice hasn't been awful but without his top 2 receiving threats, things should only go downhill. Montee Ball can't stop fumbling, Brashaw is on IR, and David Wilson has been a nightmare. I won't even mention Denard Robinson...

Grade: B-

Forte Shades of Jay (Eric Lee)
Best Pick: 7th Round, Giovani Bernard
Worst Pick: 5th Round, Cecil Shorts
Sleeper: 10th Round, Aaron Dobson

Bernard is definitely showing flashes of brilliance and the ability to make the big play. He's carving out a spot on the Bengals rotation as well as fantasy rosters. Shorts has produced admirably with the Gabbert/Henne combo under center, but he hasn't played like a 5th round pick (WR in 5th and 6th rounds: Jordy, Welker, DeSean). Dobson is starting to earn targets and trust from Brady, but I can't see him getting much better this season.

Grade: B+

Ben There Raped That (Paul Kim)
Best Pick: 5th Round, Matthew Stafford
Worst Pick: 4th Round, Darren Sproles
Sleeper: All his WR3s

Which Matt would you rather have? Ryan or Stafford? One has outscored the other by almost 50 fantasy points. I'll let you guess which one. Sproles has been about a 8 point a week back which would be fine if he hadn't drafted 3 others in the first 8 rounds. Of his WR3s (Sanders, Broyles, Randle, LaFell) the best one to work out might be Rueben Randle who has become a legit end zone threat.

Grade: B+

Final Draft Analysis GPA: 2.49 (B- to C+ average)

I'm above average!!!

Good luck to all!

Simon Kim

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

MOTW - Week 8

What happened last week? I feel like (without exaggerating) 10% of the NFL suffered injuries last week. From Cutler to Wayne to Martin to Foster to Bradford to Foles to Finley to Briggs to Manning, the list goes on and on. What a sad week of football.

To add to that sadness, the loser of this week's MOTW will probably be lose their hope for the rest of the season as well.

MOTW
11. The Powerhouse (Nelson) vs. 12. Kaep'n Crunch (Jon)
QB: Kaepernick has to be one of the most disappointing QBs this year. He took his team to the Super Bowl but it's looking more like the team around him carried them and not the guy under center. He does get a soft Jaguars defense to boost his stats but I'll take Rodgers over a Minnesota defense that's been one of the worst against the pass. Edge: Nelson
WR: Boykin was huge last week in the absence of Cobb and Jones and will get a chance to feast on this terrible Vikings secondary. He's my GAMECHANGER as he'll likely score at least 1 TD with 100+ yards. Even with the GAMECHANGER on his side, no Andre Johnson, no DeAndre Hopkins, a struggling Hakeem Nicks, and having to face Decker, Blackmon, and Fitzgerald means that Jon will still be projected to lose this battle. Edge: Nelson
RB: Nelson's RBs have gotten so bad that he's resorting to starting both of the Oakland tailbacks. But Jon's RB situation has been awful. Jacobs might not play again this week and MJD has just been one of the biggest busts this year. I can't say anything more about this awful backfield matchup... Edge: Even
TE: Finley, out. Gates, bye. What is Jon doing? I hope he picks someone up soon... Edge: Nelson
K/DEF: Hmmm the Titans are on bye too? C'mon Jon, you're slacking here. At least he picked up Hartley who should put up some points when the Saints stall on offense without Graham. Edge: Nelson.

Winner: The Powerhouse (Nelson)
Jon amazingly has 6 players on bye, 2 TEs that won't be playing this week, and a team where almost every position is under-performing. I'm going to put my money on Jon's season being over. Sorry, Jon. Better luck next year.

GAMECHANGER record through week 7: 4-6

MOTW record through week 7: 4-6

Good luck to all!

Simon Kim

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

MOTW Week 6 & 7! (Not really MOTWs though)

So you guys might have thought I started slacking again by not posting a MOTW last week but that's not true! There actually were no good matchups last week and recently, they blocked blogspot at work so I didn't get a chance to write during my work hours. There actually seems to be no good MOTWs again this week with only 2 people in the top 6 facing off this week. So instead of a MOTW, I'll post what I was going to do last week.

Re-Do Draft:
Rules:
1. Every team has to have had a chance at the player. Therefore, players like McCoy, Charles, are ineligible.
2. They have to be drafted in a reasonable position. Nobody was going to draft Manning in the first round or Philip Rivers in the top 10 rounds.
3. I think those are all the rules but I thought just 2 rules would look kind of lame.

Re-Do Draft Results by Round:
1. Forte - The 7th best RB who isn't injured this year, Forte has come alive in the new Bears offense under Trestman. He's being utilized more and with Marshall, Jeffrey, and Bennetts stretching the field, he's had more room to operate.
2. Manning - He's outscored the next best QB by almost 9 points a game. That's a TD + 75 yards. That's unbelieveable. He's almost doubling the score of the 12th best QB (which should technically be a startable QB as there are 12 teams in the league). That's unreal. Manning is my hero.
3. Murray - Now this was done before he got injured but his injury shouldn't last long anyways. He's been a top 12 option and he's doing it without finding the end zone too often. If he can parlay all that running into some scores, he could finish as a top 10 back.
4. Welker - Oh how people doubted that 2 white receivers could succeed on one team. Welker has gone to Denver and become Manning's security blanket on the underneath routes. Of course, Manning's security blanket = catch copious amounts of TDs as well.
5. D. Jackson - Why don't we ever believe in this man? He always seem to drop in the draft even though he's established himself as one of the best receivers in the league. Outside of Justin Blackmons' ridiculous 2 game stretch, Jackson has literally been the best receiver in the league.
6. J. Gordon - A Browns player??? Yes, a Browns player. After his 2 game suspension, he tore up the league. Although he no longer has a competent Hoyer to throw him passes, his talent alone should be able to keep him as a WR1. Besides, Weeden has to be better than what the next guy has as QB options...
7. Blackmon - How do you average 19 points a game with Henne and Gabbert as your QB? Imagine if he had a competent QB. He might be on pace for 30 PPG.
8. Cameron - Another Browns player??? Cameron's been a top 5 TE and although his stock might drop with Weeden, he's been on a mission to prove my draft day analysis wrong.
9. D. Moore - A talented player in a terrible situation doesn't mean he's destined to fail. He's been Pryor's go-to guy and he's been able to find the end zone pretty regularly.
10. F. Jackson - Spiller in the first round or Jackson 9 rounds later? Jackson has not only usurped Spiller's fantasy value, he's been a RB1 for the first 6 weeks!
11. Rivers - Rivers and his scowl were passed over by everyone in the league for their QB1 spot AND by most teams for their QB2 spot as well. Rivers and his scowl are not pleased that everyone threw away a chance at a top 3 QB.
12. Moreno - Sure, his numbers are inflated by a 3 TD game last week. But even without those TDs, he's been racking up garbage yards as the Broncos blow out teams. He also seems to be the back Manning trusts the most and so he's on the field for the majority of their snaps.
13. Prater - Extra points galore! All those TDs make for easy points and the thin Denver air + Prater's monster leg means anything within 60 yards is makeable.
14. J. Thomas - The 2nd best TE in the league wasn't on anybody's radar coming into the draft (don't lie). He's been unstoppable as part of the Denver offense and there's no reason to believe he'll be slowing down.
15. KC - They've averaged more points per game than any RB. They've averaged more points per game than any WR or TE. Enough said.

Anyways, week 7 might be the point of no return for a number of teams.

So good luck to all!

Simon Kim

Thursday, October 3, 2013

MOTW - Week 5

As I am in Atlanta for Catalyst, this one's gonna be short and simple. Regular MOTWs will continue next week!

MOTW
1. taeyeon (Mike) vs. 2. Orangevodjuiceka (Dan Park)
QB: Although Romo will be playing a poor Broncos secondary, I'm not betting against Brees, no mattet who he plays. Edge: Dan
WR: How ridiculous is it that Dan can bench Reggie Wayne due to his matchup with Richard Sherman but be able to replace him with Kaep's favorite target? Not only that, Cruz plays against arguably the worst secondary in the league (GAMECHANGER!). No contest here. Edge: Dan
RB: Mathews and Powell had solid weeks to lead Dan to victory last week, but I doubt they'll be able to replicate that success. With Bush and Charles, 2 of the top 10 backs this season, this one should be a slaughter. Edge: Mike
TE: #neverbetagainstjimmygraham #evenifitstonygonzalez? #yeseventhen Edge:Mike
K/DEF: This is really the tiebreaker and I don't think Dan is going to roll with Carolina. I'll give Bailey a slight edge as he is playing in the thin air in Denver: Edge: Mike

Winner: taeyeon (Mike)
Dan can't go two for two in taking down the undefeated juggernauts as Mike continues to lock up his first round bye. Will anybody be able to stop him?

GAMECHANGER record through week 4: 4-5

MOTW record through week 4: 3-6

Good luck to all!

Simon Kim